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Economic Analysis

TD Economics provides analysis of economic performance and the implications for investors. The analysis covers the globe, with emphasis on North America.

Data Commentaries

February 2, 2011
  • U.S. Vehicle Sales – Download (21k PDF)
February 1, 2011
  • U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index – Download (21k PDF)
January 31, 2012
  • U.S. Consumer Confidence – Download (20k PDF)
January 30, 2012
  • U.S. Personal Income and Spending – Download (21k PDF)
January 25, 2012
  • Federal Reserve Press Conference – Download (23k PDF)
  • U.S. FOMC Interest Rate Decision – Download (23k PDF)
  • U.S. State Employment Monitor – Download (630k PDF)
January 20, 2012
  • U.S. Existing Home Sales – Download (26k PDF)
January 19, 2012
  • U.S. Housing Starts – Download (26k PDF)
  • U.S. Consumer Price Index – Download (26k PDF)
January 13, 2012
  • U.S. International Trade Balance – Download (26k PDF)
January 12, 2012
  • U.S. Retail Sales – Download (26k PDF)
January 11, 2012
  • U.S. Federal Reserve Beige Book – Download (26k PDF)
January 10, 2012
  • NFIB Small Business Optimism Index – Download (26k PDF)
January 6, 2012
  • U.S. Employment – Download (28k PDF)
January 3, 2012
  • U.S. FOMC Minutes – Download (27k PDF)
December 23, 2011
  • U.S. Durable Goods Order – Download (21k PDF)
December 5, 2011
  • U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index – Download (25k PDF)
November 29, 2011 November 22, 2011
  • U.S. Real GDP - Q3 Revised – Download (26k PDF)

Regular Publications

January 30, 2012
  • Dollars & Sense – Download (631k PDF)
January 20, 2012 January 17, 2012
  • Global Markets – Download (1,714k PDF)
January 16, 2012
  • U.S. Regional Check-Up – Download (724k PDF)
December 16, 2011
  • Commodity Price Report – Download (534k PDF)
December 14, 2011

Special Reports/Observations

January 26, 2012
  • The Worrisome Decline In The U.S. Participation Rate – Download (692k PDF)
January 19, 2012
  • China's Prospects In The Year Of The Dragon – Download (612k PDF)
January 17, 2012
  • U.S. Auto Sales Coming Back To Life...Slowly But Surely – Download (732k PDF)
January 4, 2012
  • What to Make of the Revisions to U.S. Existing Home Sales – Download (102k PDF)
December 9, 2011
  • European Sovereign Debt Crisis: Building a Fiscal Compact – Download (698k PDF)
November 21, 2011
  • Slow Moving Train Wreck Still Moving Down The Track – Download (1.1mb PDF)
November 9, 2011
  • Perspective: Gridlock in America – Download (486k PDF)
October 27, 2011
  • European Sovereign Debt Plan: Navigating A Sea Of Missing Details – Download (685k PDF)
  • The Bay State's Job Revival – Download (656k PDF)
October 18, 2011
  • U.S. Women Entrepreneurs and the Factors That Drive Their Businesses – Download (709k PDF)
September 28, 2011
  • Perspective: Paying the Piper – Download (592k PDF)
September 9, 2011
  • President Obama's American Jobs Act – Download (543k PDF)
September 7, 2011
  • Can More Fiscal Stimulus Fix America's Labor Market Woes? – Download (861k PDF)
September 6, 2011 August 9, 2011
  • Financial Reaction to U.S. Credit Downgrade – Download (485k PDF)
August 8, 2011
  • S&P Downgrade of U.S. Credit Rating Changes Nothing – Download (544k PDF)
  • European Response to Fiscal Crisis Remains Inadequate – Download (547k PDF)
July 28, 2011
  • Perspectives On The U.S. Debt Ceiling Debate – Download (572k PDF)
July 22, 2011
  • European Sovereign Debt: Bailing-In Greece – Download (609k PDF)
July 19, 2011
  • A Global Perspective On A Potential Chinese Banking Crisis – Download (578k PDF)
July 18, 2011
  • Will Inflation Stick? – Download (525k PDF)
July 15, 2011
  • Hoping Rationality And Leadership Win Out Over Politics – Download (520k PDF)
July 12, 2011
  • U.S. Job Machine Needs Faster Economic Growth – Download (600k PDF)
July 11, 2011
  • Jobs Dependent On Small And Medium Sized Firms – Download (640k PDF)
June 29, 2011
  • Slower Growth And Tighter Monetary Conditions Temper Global Inflation – Download (635k PDF)
June 22, 2011
  • Industrial Transformation: The Case Of North Carolina – Download (865k PDF)
June 9, 2011
  • East Coast Housing - If They Build It, Will They Come? – Download (686k PDF)
May 18, 2011
  • Small Businesses Will Reclaim the Driver's Seat Behind the Economic Engine – Download (1211k PDF)
April 21, 2011
  • European Sovereign Debt: Entering the End-Game – Download (443k PDF)
April 20, 2011
  • Setting the Stage for a U.S. Housing Recovery – Download (443k PDF)
April 19, 2011
  • Caught In The Middle: The Polarization of Skills in The U.S. Labor Market – Download (8136k PDF)
March 28, 2011
  • European Sovereign Debt: Still Without Signs of Resolution – Download (1016k PDF)
March 25, 2011
  • America's Manufacturing-Led Recovery – Download (841k PDF)
March 1, 2011
  • How The South Will Get Its Groove Back – Download (626k PDF)
February 25, 2011
  • Will Rising Oil Prices Derail The Global Economy? – Download (637k PDF)
February 23, 2011
  • European Sovereign Debt: Stress Testing Banks – Download (572k PDF)
February 1, 2011
  • Municipal Bonds: Not For The Faint Of Heart, But No Cause For Panic – Download (725k PDF)
January 19, 2011 January 18, 2011
  • Outside Of Mortgages, U.S. Credit Showing Broad Improvement – Download (682k PDF)
January 4, 2011
  • An Update on State Tax Revenues – Download (383k PDF)
December 2, 2010
  • Putting The U.S. Fiscal House In Order – Download (678k PDF)
November 15, 2010
  • High-Tech Sector Offers Ray Of Sunshine For Florida – Download (485k PDF)
November 12, 2010
  • Resolving U.S. Housing Problem Essential to Avoiding Japan Experience – Download (655k PDF)
October 27, 2010
  • The Nifty-Fifty No More: An Indepth Look at State Fiscal Finances – Download (645k PDF)
October 5, 2010
  • Small U.S. Unemployment In The Aftermath Of The Great Recession – Download (720k PDF)
August 27, 2010
  • U.S. Recovery Is Tracking Traditional Experience After Financial Crisis Induced Recessions – Download (270k PDF)
July 29, 2010
  • Will Europe's Troubles Wash Up On New England Shores? – Download (573k PDF)
July 14, 2010
  • What's Next For Lumber Prices? – Download (481k PDF)
  • Financial Regulation Reform: A Myriad Of Double-Edged Swords – Download (534k PDF)
July 7, 2010
  • U.S. Financial Regulatory Reform & The Dodd-Frank Bill – Download (294k PDF)
June 18, 2010
  • Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill To Have Long-Lasting Impacts – Download (36k PDF)
May 28, 2010
  • Small and Medium Sized Businesses Key to U.S. Economic Recovery – Download (531k PDF)
May 18, 2010
  • U.S. Consumer Prices To Dance Awfully Close To Deflation Danger Zone – Download (551k PDF)
March 23, 2010
  • U.S. Northeast Economy Becomes the Frontrunner – Download (478k PDF)
March 22, 2010
  • U.S. Corporate Profit Growth To Slow As Hiring Resumes – Download (305k PDF)
March 10, 2010
  • Back To Balance: What's Next For The U.S. Housing Market? – Download (686k PDF)
February 4, 2010
  • U.S. Won't Have A Jobless Recovery – Download (404k PDF)
December 16, 2009
  • U.S. Consumer Credit and Household Deleveraging – Download (371k PDF)
November 13, 2009
  • U.S. Commercial Real Estate is a Speed Bump, but not a Road Block to Recovery – Download (494k PDF)
November 12, 2009
  • Possible Economic Impact of H1N1 – Download (38k PDF)
November 6, 2009
  • How Will the Global Recession and its Recovery Compare to the Past? – Download (339k PDF)
November 4, 2009
  • Is the Global Economy Hard-Wired for a Lingering Fed? – Download (295k PDF)
September 29, 2009
  • The G-20 in Pittsburgh – Sherpas Bearing Gifts – Download (252k PDF)
September 28, 2009
  • Northeast Job Market is a Cut Above – Download (230k PDF)
August 29, 2009
  • The Great Recession: Lessons and Opportunities – Download (192k PDF)
August 4, 2009
  • Is There Evidence That Obama's Loan Modification Program is Working? – Download (201k PDF)
July 31, 2009 July 30, 2009
  • Anantomy of a U.S. Housing Rebound – Download (190k PDF)
June 1, 2009
  • U.S. Exports: Rise of the Machines Starring Emerging Markets – Download (63k PDF)
May 7, 2009
  • U.S. Recovery has Legs to Stand On – Download (46k PDF)
May 4, 2009
  • Will Guarding Against Deflation Now Lead to an Inflation Problem in the Future? – Download (76k PDF)
April 23, 2009
  • Do State Foreclosure Laws Impact Mortgage Delinquency Rates? – Download (37k PDF)
  • U.S. Housing Market – Fishing for the Bottom (Report) – Download (155k PDF)
  • U.S. Housing Market – Fishing for the Bottom (Press Release) – Download (25k PDF)
March 24, 2009
  • U.S. Credit Flows During the Fourth Quarter Show Stress on Households and Firms – Download (107k PDF)
February 19, 2009
  • A Primer on Fiscal Stimulus – Download (65k PDF)